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Comprehensive Analysis and Evaluation of the Influence of Factors on the Formation and Development of the Tourism Industry in Ukraine
Golovkova L. S., Yukhnovska Y. O.

Golovkova, Lyudmila S., and Yukhnovska, Yulia O. (2020) “Comprehensive Analysis and Evaluation of the Influence of Factors on the Formation and Development of the Tourism Industry in Ukraine.” Business Inform 2:179–186.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2020-2-179-186

Section: Economics of Trade and Services

UDC 338.48

Abstract:
The article defines that one of the priority directions of socio-economic development is the tourism industry, so the formation and forecasting of tourist flows, ensuring their quality service require special attention of scholars and practitioners of the tourism industry. Therefore, this is a topical issue of the present time. The article is aimed at comprehensive studying and evaluating the influence of factors on the formation and development of the tourism potential of the regions of Ukraine using the regression and correlation method. The algorithm of forecasting the volume of tourist flows by the following stages is proposed: problem setting (planning of the volume of tourist flows); choice of mathematical model; research into the factors affecting the density of the link with the productive feature and selection of the most influential factors; validation of the model for adequacy; selection of signs of efficiency of dynamics of tourist flows at the regional level; search of parameters of the model, interpretation of the obtained values; evaluation of model quality and reliability; forecasting the tourist flows. It is defined that the formation and development of the tourism potential of Ukrainian regions depends on many factors (socio-economic status of the country and its regions, political situation, gross national product and gross regional product, financial stability and wages of the population, etc.) and related spheres, such as hospitality industry, health-improving and sanatorium-resort sphere. However, the presence of cultural and historical heritage causes much weaker influence on the tourist appeal of the country and its individual regions.

Keywords: tourism industry, regression-correlation method, forecasting, tourism industry potential, evaluation of factors.

Fig.: 3. Tabl.: 7. Bibl.: 8.

Golovkova Lyudmila S. – Doctor of Sciences (Economics), Professor, Head of the Department, Department of Finance and Economic Security, Dnipro National University of Railway Transport named after academician V. Lazarian (2 Lazariana Str., Dnіpro, 49010, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Yukhnovska Yulia O. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Candidate on Doctor Degree, Department of Finance and Economic Security, Dnipro National University of Railway Transport named after academician V. Lazarian (2 Lazariana Str., Dnіpro, 49010, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

List of references in article

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Zhukova, M. A. Industriya turizma: menedzhment organizatsii [Travel Industry: Organization Management]. Moscow: Finansy i statistika, 2004.
“Kulturna spadshchyna“ [Cultural Heritage]. Vikipediia. https://uk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Культурна_спадщина
Kiptenko, V. K. Menedzhment turyzmu [Tourism Management]. Kyiv: Znannia, 2010.
Krush, P. V. et al. Natsionalna ekonomika [National Economy]. Kyiv: Karavela, 2008.
Ofitsiinyi sait Derzhavnoi sluzhby statystyky Ukrainy. http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/
Tsyokhla, S. Yu. “Systematyzatsiia faktoriv rozvytku turystychnoi industrii“ [Systematization of Factors of Development of Tourist Industry]. Uchenyye zapiski Tavricheskogo natsionalnogo universiteta im. V. I. Vernadskogo. Seriya «Ekonomika i upravleniye», vol. 22, no. 2 (2009): 373-380.
Yanovskyi, P. O. Pasazhyrski perevezennia [Passenger Transportation]. Kyiv: NAU, 2008.

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