BUSINESS INFORM №10-2013

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Section: Economic and Mathematical Modeling
UDC 339.56.055
Svetunkov S. G., Vyshynskа T. L.
Complex-valued Modelling of the Shadow Economy in the Sphere of Foreign Trade of Ukraine (p. 86 - 92)
The article analyses methods, which could be used for identification of volumes of shadow flows when carrying out foreign trade operations, and shows their shortcomings. It specifies the “mirror statistics” method as the main one for determining volumes of shadow export and import operations. It compares data on foreign trade of Ukraine with main trade partners (EU-27, CIS, China and USA). It identifies factual volumes of import of goods to Ukraine and export of goods from Ukraine. It builds an economic and mathematical regression model using principles of the complex-valued economy. It identifies values of a complex ratio of the pair correlation between: legal and shadow export of Ukraine and complex factors of import; complex indicators of development of Ukraine and legal and shadow export.
Keywords: shadow economy, import, export, mirror statistics, complex-valued economy, economic and mathematical regression models
Fig.: 2. Tabl.: 7. Bibl.: 8.

Svetunkov Sergey Gennadievich – Doctor of Sciences (Economics), Professor, Head of the Department, Department of Economic Cybernetics and economic and mathematical methods, Saint-Petersburg State University of Economics (21 Sadovaya Str., Saint Petersburg, 191023, Russia)
Email: [email protected]
Vyshynskа Tetyana L. – Postgraduate Student, Department of International Economics, Kyiv National University of Trade and Economics (19 Kіoto Str., Kyiv, 02156, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

Article is written in Russian
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Reference to this article:
Svetunkov, Sergey Gennadievich., and Vyshynskа, Tetyana L. (2013) “Complex-valued Modelling of the Shadow Economy in the Sphere of Foreign Trade of Ukraine.” Business Inform 10:86–92.

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