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BUSINESS INFORM №10-2015

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25

Section: Economic and Mathematical Modeling
UDC 338.27
Azarenkova H. M., Olefir I. A., Kriukova H. K.
Using Adaptive Forecasting Models in the Contemporary Conditions of the Financial-Economic Space (p. 149 - 155)

The article is aimed at a theoretical-methodological substantiation and practical application of the adaptive forecasting models in the development of adaptation measures. Evolution of the use of adaptive models, particularly its simple form – exponential smoothing – as well as change of its basic principles when building forecasts has been considered. It has been determined that most adaptation measures are directed to «survival». However, current conditions put forward other requirements: in order to become competitive, «protective» methods are not sufficient, there is the need for adaptation measures aimed at development. With regard to the volatile and uncertain financial-economic space, the best basis for establishing such measures is the short-term forecasting (until 3 years) that would preserve the representativeness of the results. Thus, the methodology set out in article as to applying adaptive models for enterprises is also suitable for forecasting of main parameters of banks' activities with introduction of corresponding adjustments and refinements that will improve efficiency of the process of adaptation to characteristics of the financial-economic space.
Keywords: forecasting, adaptive models, exponential smoothing, adaptation measures, financial-economic space
Fig.: 5. Tabl.: 2. Formulae: 8. Bibl.: 19.

Azarenkova Halyna M. – Doctor of Sciences (Economics), Professor, Head of the Department, Department of Finance, Banking and Insurance, Kharkiv Educational and Scientific Institute of SHEI «Banking University» (55 Peremohy Ave., Kharkіv, 61174, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Olefir Ievgeniia A. – Postgraduate Student, University of Banking (1 Andrіivska Str., Kyiv, 04070, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]
Kriukova Hanna K. – Master, Kharkiv Educational and Scientific Institute of SHEI «Banking University» (55 Peremohy Ave., Kharkіv, 61174, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

Article is written in Ukrainian
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Reference to this article:
Azarenkova, Halyna M., Olefir, Ievgeniia A., and Kriukova, Hanna K. (2015) “Using Adaptive Forecasting Models in the Contemporary Conditions of the Financial-Economic Space.” Business Inform 10:149–155.


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