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Algorithm for Analyzing the Threat System to the Economic Security of Business Collaborations
Chernov O. O.

Chernov, Oleksandr O. (2025) “Algorithm for Analyzing the Threat System to the Economic Security of Business Collaborations.” Business Inform 8:115–126.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2025-8-115-126

Section: Economic and Mathematical Modeling

Article is written in Ukrainian
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UDC 332.8:334.7

Abstract:
The aim of this work is to develop an algorithm for analyzing the threat system to the economic security of a business collaboration, the use of which will help improve the efficiency of decision-making and implementation processes. To achieve this aim, the following tasks are proposed: identify the threat system to the economic security of a business collaboration, examine vertical and horizontal relationships within the structure of the threat system, and rank threats according to their impact on the overall level of economic security of the business collaboration. The work constructs a three-level threat hierarchy: the first level includes two classes of threats – external and internal; the second level comprises thematic groups of threats; and the lowest level consists of the threats themselves. For analyzing the threat system, it is proposed to use expert evaluation methods, specifically the Analytic Hierarchy Process. During the implementation of the method, initial individual pairwise comparison matrices for threat groups were obtained, based on which the corresponding local and global priorities were calculated. As a result, a ranking of economic security threats to the business collaboration was established. The most significant threats from the overall list include the first eight, whose cumulative share exceeded 50%, and whose individual shares are over 5%: aggressive pricing policy of competitors, political instability, conflicts of interest among partners, changes in legislation, violations of intellectual property rights, changes in market structure, and financial instability of one of the partners. Among the identified threats, most are external, with only two being internal (conflicts of interest among partners and financial instability of one of the partners). External threats are categorized into two groups: competitive threats and threats from the regulatory and legal environment. The proposed algorithm for analyzing the threat system of economic security in a business collaboration allows for the examination of connections within the structure of the threat system and the ranking of threats according to their impact on the overall level of economic security. The use of Saaty’s Analytic Hierarchy Process provides a well-founded quantitative assessment of threat priorities based on expert judgments, which increases the objectivity of the results obtained.

Keywords: economic security, threat, business collaboration, hierarchy, system, algorithm, rating.

Fig.: 4. Tabl.: 2. Formulae: 9. Bibl.: 17.

Chernov Oleksandr O. – Postgraduate Student, Department of Entrepreneurship, Trade and Logistics, National Technical University «Kharkiv Polytechnic Institute» (2 Kyrpychova Str., Kharkіv, 61002, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

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