KV #19905-9705 PR dated 02.04.2013.







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Economic statistics


Rayevnyeva O. V., Bobkova A. Y.
Analysis of the Presence and Stability of Club Convergence in Ukraine (p. 83 - 86)

The article presents the main stages of diagnosis of club convergence by the Quah method. The implementation of this method are demonstrated by the example of Ukraine's regions.

Article is written in Russian

Aksonova I. V.
Statistical Analysis of the Influence of Demographic Processes for Economic Development in Ukraine (p. 86 - 89)

The article considers the state of the demographic situation in Ukraine, analyzed demographic processes affecting the economic development of the country, selected areas of research in modern economic demography.

Article is written in Ukrainan

Berest M. M.
Statistical Analysis of Processes of Bankruptcy is in Ukraine (p. 89 - 92)

The statistical analysis of processes of bankruptcy in Ukraine is conducted. Quantitative and high-quality indexes, characterizing efficiency of functioning of institute of bankruptcy of enterprises, are analyzed; the analysis of processes, related to bankruptcy of enterprises, being in state administration is conducted.

Article is written in Ukrainan

Poliakova O. Y., Goltіaіeva L. A.
Methods of Multivariate Statistical Analysis as a Tool for the Implementation of the Mechanism of Selection of Indicators Representative (p. 92 - 96)

The article is devoted to the development of the mechanism of selection of representative indicators. The study stated purpose of the modules defined mechanism for the task, tools that support its implementation. The results of this publication are used for forming the feature space to assess the financial condition of the company.

Article is written in Ukrainan

Sierova I. A.
The Problems of Treatment of Rezalts in Statistical Observations (p. 97 - 99)

The article studies the questions of processing of the results of statistical observations in various of areas of their conduct and methodological approaches to this process.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Rayevnyeva O. V., Grynevych L. V.
Statistical Evaluation of the Investment Activity in Ukraine (p. 111 - 114)

The article is devoted to the evaluation of investment activity in Ukraine through the use of statistical methods. Identified trends in investment activity in the country and draw conclusions about the intensity of changes in investment activity in the post-crisis period.

Article is written in Ukrainan

Sergienko O. A., Maznyak M. G.
Models of Multivariate Statistical Analysis in the Study of the Competitive Positions of the State (p. 114 - 121)

The proposed multivariate statistical analysis instruments which based for making decisions on the development of effective tools for managing the state economic security implementation of which will form the management decisions aimed at improving the competitive position and maintain an acceptable level of economic security.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Milevska T. S.
Statistical Assessment of Results of Innovation Activity of Regions (p. 145 - 150)

The article considers problems of innovation development in regions, which, as a rule, is provided with innovation activity of companies located in a specific territory. Innovation development of regions should be considered from the point of view of the level of innovation development of relevant branches of industry. The article considers Ukrainian regions and 23 indicators of innovation activity. Application of multidimensional scaling allowed placing regions and indicators in the three-dimensional environment for adequate reproduction of observed distances between them. Selection of a method and system of indicators is justified by optimal nature of the criteria that characterise regional differentiation of the level of development of regions.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Pronoza P. V.
Dynamics and specific features of economic development of Ukraine in 2003 – 2012 (p. 413 - 423)

The article presents results of the study of dynamics of economic development of Ukraine during the past decade. It marks out three phases of development of the national economy. It shows that it is necessary to reveal and analyse those types of economic activity that exert the biggest influence upon the dynamics of the GDP of the country when studying specific features and disproportions of development of the Ukrainian economy. The article allocates the most large-scale, by their absolute volume, types of economic activity of the GDP of Ukraine and analyses their dynamics. It builds a matrix of positioning of types of economic activity of GDP of Ukraine in the “scalability – dynamics” plane. It analyses dynamics of types of economic activity of the Ukrainian economy by the absolute volume of export and calculates the absolute gain of export from Ukraine by types of economic activity. It underlines the biggest, by import volume, types of economic activity of GDP of Ukraine and absolute gain of import in Ukraine by types of economic activity. It analyses export and import orientation of types of economic activity of GDP of Ukraine. It builds a matrix of positioning in the “export orientation – import dependence” plane of types of economic activity of GDP of Ukraine. It presents distribution of types of economic activity of GDP of Ukraine in the “export orientation – import dependence” plane by clusters. It calculates the ratio of full costs of types of economic activity of GDP of Ukraine. It distributes types of economic activity of GDP of Ukraine with consideration of their interrelation. It offers comparative characteristics of main types of economic activity of GDP of Ukraine in 2003 – 2012. It marks out leading types of economic activity, which cover 35% in GDP of the country and have a significant multiplicative effect on development of other sectors of economy and identify sustainability of their development.

Article is written in Russian


Kaplenko H. V.
The Probabilistic Nature of Forecasting of Consumer Demand Based on Continuous Monitoring (p. 228 - 232)

The starting point of the article is the recognition of the crisis in the theory and practice of economic forecasting. In this context the position described in the book by John K. Galbraith, "Economics of Innocent Fraud" was criticized to cater for the rejection of the development of economic forecasts, and show the need to improve its theory. Next attention is focused on one of these problems – the study of the problem of the possibility of using probabilistic and statistical (random) estimates for the development of forecasts of consumer demand based on continuous monitoring. In connection with this a historical and comparative analysis of concepts on using probabilistic-statistical approach to economic forecasting based on the modeling of data of continuous observation was made. On this basis, it was concluded that the construction of such data on econometric forecasts of consumer demand should be based on the logic-algebraic rather than probabilistic and statistical approach.

Article is written in Russian


Kyselov K. Y.
Main Directions of Developing the Data Bases for Statistical Studying the Consumption of Goods and Services by the Population of Ukraine (p. 236 - 241)

This article presents an analysis of the use of statistical tools for household living conditions (HLC) survey in the individual EU Member Countries and Ukraine, approaches to developing and use of means of information support for managing the processes of consuming products and services have been determined. The author has analyzed the individual information resources for surveying household living conditions, he has proposed use of special thematic questionnaires aimed at the disadvantaged social groups, for estimating the poverty indicators as well as debt loads of the population. The information resources, which were designed and analyzed by the author, provided for enabling a conceptual approach to the decision-making on the basis of means of information support.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Chernenko D. I.
Statistical Prognosing of the Market of Laboratory Medical Services in Ukraine (p. 263 - 268)

In the article a methodology of short-term prognosing of the market of medical laboratory services in Ukraine is proposed and results of its applying are presented. The article is aimed to elaborate a methodology for simulation of trends in changing the indicators of the market of medical laboratory services in Ukraine for the period of 2003-2013, based on analytical equations, used in developing prognoses. An analysis of the anticipated annual rates of growth of development levels of the market of laboratory medical services, namely hospital laboratory tests for 100 hospitalized patients and polyclinic-ambulatory lab tests for 100 appointments, has provided for conclusions about the increasing direction of the market of laboratory medical services in Ukraine.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Melnykova K. V.
Statistics of the Logistic Activities of Enterprise (p. 244 - 247)

In the article the current scientific approaches to the definition of the concept of «logistic activities» have been analyzed. The role of the new direction of statistics of the logistic activities as a means of information support for the activities of enterprises has been disclosed. As result of the research, the author has defined the essence of the concept of «statistics of the logistic activities of enterprise». Identified and described are the object, subject and tasks of statistics of the logistic activities of enterprise. Considered and summarized are various areas of statistical studies of the logistic activities and their role in the information support of logistic activities. Methods and specific features of statistical surveys on logistic activities of enterprises has been identified.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Soboliev V. M., Korepanov O. S., Sobolieva M. V., Chernenko D. I.
Statistical Estimation of the Demand for Clinical Laboratory Services in the Regions of Ukraine (p. 86 - 93)

The aim of the article is to identify the structure of the demand for clinical laboratory services (CLSs) in Ukraine in the regional context for its statistical estimation. The CLS market is seen as the demand for CLSs secured by payments of consumers. The author’s segmentation of the CLS market has been suggested. At the highest level of segmentation the two main structural elements having specific forms of supply and meeting the demand of consumers have been distinguished: 1. The CLSs offered for the purpose of medical diagnostic for the health recovery, restoration and preservation of a certain level of ability to work at its temporary loss. This market segment is conventionally called the medical and diagnostic one. The services provided with the purpose of detecting the disease, determining the diagnosis are prescribed by the doctor. 2. The CLSs offered for the preventive diagnostic in order to preserve and maintain a healthy body condition. This segment was characterized as preventive and diagnostic. The services are provided with the purpose of preventing diseases, usually initiated by the consumer (patient). The demand for CLSs of the first segment is determined on the basis of the data of the primary disease rate. The demand for CLSs of the second segment is determined on the basis of the age structure of consumers of the relevant services and medical recommendations on prescription of tests.

Article is written in English


Chernenko D. I.
A Statistical Estimation of the Level of Concentration of the Private Sector in the Market for Laboratory Medical Services in Ukraine (p. 147 - 153)

The article offers methods for and presents results of a statistical estimation of concentration of the private sector in the market for laboratory medical services in Ukraine on the basis of calculation of the standard indicators of concentration (CR) and the indexes Herfindahl-Hirschman (HHI). The carried out calculations of both the standard concentrations and the concentration indexes Herfindahl-Hirschman for the private sector of the market for medical laboratory services by the indicators of net income and the number of employees showed that this sector of the market should be considered as moderately concentrated and should be typologized as «monopolistic competition» (by number of employees) or «oligopoly» (by net income).

Article is written in Ukrainan


Chernenko D. I.
The System of Indicators for the Statistical Evaluation of Market Conjuncture (p. 262 - 268)

The article is aimed at systematizing and improving the system of statistical indicators for the market of laboratory health services (LHS) and developing methods for their calculation. In the course of formation of the system of statistical indicators for the market of LHS, allocation of nine blocks has been proposed: market size; proportionality of market; market demand; market proposal; level and dynamics of prices; variation of the LHS; dynamics, development trends, and cycles of the market; market structure; level of competition and monopolization. The proposed system of statistical indicators together with methods for their calculation should ensure studying the trends and regularities in formation of the market for laboratory health services in Ukraine.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Kobylynska T. V.
The Statistical Forecasting of Volumes of Emissions of Certain Types of Polluting Substances by the Agricultural Enterprises of Zhytomyr Region (p. 201 - 207)

The long-term reforming of the agricultural sector of the country has led to the fact that the system of agricultural production does not conform with the principles of ecological-economic balance of the development of national economy in general and the agricultural sector In particular. The issues of statistical evaluation of ecological consequences of agricultural activity of enterprises of the country demand development and introduction of new approaches to carrying out of statistical evaluation of the given branch. In the process of research, selective statistical observations of the activities by agricultural enterprises were carried out. According to results of the sample statistical study, a statistical forecasting of emissions of certain types of hazardous substances under the influence of particular factors was carried out.

Article is written in Ukrainan

Zahozhai V. B., Lazebnyk I. O., Chala T. G.
The Methodological Foundations of Statistical Support of Management of Sustainable Urban Development (p. 208 - 214)

The article is aimed at developing statistical support for the creation and functioning of a new modern urban development model that integrates all aspects of sustainable development, promotes the equality, well-being and shared prosperity of all urban residents. The topical issues of urbanization tendencies of the world population, growth of the total population, as well as distribution of rural and urban population in the regions of the world and in Ukraine are considered. The theoretical principles of the «Conception of sustainable development» adopted by the UN Conference on Environment and Development in 1992 and the «Sustainable Development Goals», approved by the UN General Assembly in September 2015, are set out. The problems and basic elements of sustainable urban development are also considered. The essence and purpose of management of sustainable urban development are defined. The conceptual block-scheme of statistical support of sustainable urban development management is elaborated, which characterizes the structure and sequence of operations aimed at substantiation of managerial decisions. A description of the main directions of statistical analysis, which are the basis for building the generalizing characterizations of economic growth, social integration, and status of environment, is provided.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Hinchuk L. I.
The Factors of Quality of Statistical Information Which is Formed by the State Statistics of Ukraine about Administrative Offenses (p. 95 - 99)

The article considers the factors of ensuring the quality of statistical information of the State statistical observation regarding administrative offenses in Ukraine. It is proved that the category of quality of information about administrative offenses is multifaceted and is defined as a system of measuring the quality of information on administrative misconducts, each of which displays a separate aspect of functioning of society and the State. It is indicated that changes in the legislation and introduction of new reporting forms do not fully reflect the real situation in the sphere of quality of information about administrative offenses in the State because of absence of the data on a significant number of administrative offenses. This arrangement makes it impossible to verify the quality of information about administrative offenses and thus complicates the possibility of developing a system of measures to prevent the commission of new administrative offenses. Improving the quality of the indicated information needs to develop new statistical forms to generalize information on administrative offenses by industry branches, especially concerning administrative offenses in transport, in the customs sphere, and anti-corruption offenses, information on which is the most accessible to date.

Article is written in English


Lazaryshyna I. D.
The Methodical Bases for Analyzing the Level of Payments in the Insurance Market of Ukraine (p. 136 - 142)

The article is concerned with the methodical provisions of analysis of the level of payments in the insurance market of Ukraine. The level of payments is researched in the context of two main producers of insurance services: the insurance companies that provide insurance for types other than life insurance («non-life»); «life» insurance companies. A methodology of analyzing the level of payments in the context of basic types of insurance is suggested: life insurance; voluntary personal insurance; voluntary property insurance; voluntary liability insurance; non-State compulsory insurance, in particular civil liability insurance for vehicle owners. The highest level of payments in the activities of «non-life» insurance companies is determined in the context of the following types: voluntary personal insurance and civil liability insurance of vehicle owners. It is noted that almost equal level of payments, which is observed in the activities of insurance companies over the past five years, should not be considered a negative tendency, as there is an annual increase in the amount of insurance payments and insurance premiums. The growth of the latter is the evidence that a growing number of insurants are using the services of insurance companies. It indicated that it is feasible and useful to use analytical information as to the level of payments by such users: directly by insurers (in order to regulate the management of companies' activities, which will help to control their profitability); insurants (in order to confirm the correctness of decision to cooperate with insurance companies).

Article is written in Ukrainan


Yerina A. M.
The Statistical Profiles Regarding the Militarization of the Global Space (p. 193 - 199)

Increased military tensions, changes in weapons systems, forms and methods of confrontation are fuelling increased demand for armaments and increased military spending in virtually all regions of the world. Without an awareness of the real level of the military power of countries, the dynamics of their changes and the directions of further development, it is impossible to build a perfect system of national security, to specify possible military and political threats, develop instruments to counter these threats and the scenarios how to neutralize them. The article is aimed at highlighting the current patterns of militarization processes at the global level, identifying both regional and national features of militarization, carrying out a comparative analysis of military power and combat capability of the armies that are at disposal of the geopolitical players. Based on data from international analytical centers, which are in one way or another related to security and defense systems (SIPRI, BICC, IISS, etc.), the article highlights global trends and regional features of increasing the defense budgets as determinants of the military power of countries and the combat capability of their armies. Measuring together with the international comparisons of the multifaceted militarization processes are based on indicators of the international rating systems: the military power of countries and the combat capability of armies – based on Global Firepower (GFP); the militarized burden on the economy and society as a whole, based on the Global Militarization Index (GMI). The methodological aspects of the formation of these mentioned international ratings are also considered, the results of positioning in the rankings for the top countries and Ukraine, which has been suffering from Russian hybrid aggression for five years, are displayed.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Hordei O. D., Myrkun B. A.
The Current Status of the Socio-Economic Development of Ukraine (p. 151 - 157)

The publication is aimed at an analytical study on the status of Ukraine’s socio-economic development in the current conditions. The concept of «socio-economic development» is studied, the factors that influence the status of its main components are substantiated. The following components of the socio-economic development are analyzed: economic potential, place of the national economy in the international arena, level of innovation, political stability, investment climate, living standards of the population. The carried out analysis proved that the identification of a significant number of indicators that form the basis of socio-economic development in Ukraine does not occur. For example, the standard of living of the population is determined by the Ministry of Social Policy of Ukraine only on the basis of economic factors, while the social aspect is completely overlooked. As a result of the study, it is determined that according to the most international ratings and indices, which constitute the basis for assessment of the status of socio-economic development, Ukraine occupies a position below the average. In particular, the Human Development Index, the Global Innovation Ranking, the Investment Attractiveness Index, and the countries’ GDP per capita rating are examined. One of the main indicators for measuring the standard of living of the population, the Human Development Index, is deteriorating year to year. In the course of an analysis the main factors that had a negative impact on the level of socio-economic development of Ukraine were clarified. The most pernicious factors are corruption, inflation and an imperfect tax system. However, despite the difficult economic situation, political instability and low standards of living of the population, it is noted that Ukraine has a great domestic potential necessary to improve the socio-economic development.

Article is written in Ukrainan

Lazebnyk I. O., Chala T. G., Burakova A. O.
Analysis of the Regional Differentiation and Tendencies in Development of the Health Care Sphere in Ukraine (p. 158 - 164)

The article is aimed at elaborating methods and techniques for statistically ensuring the analysis of regional differentiation, development tendencies and forecasting of the main indicators of the health sector in Ukraine and its impact on mortality. The main health care factors that affect the mortality of the population in Ukraine are allocated and analyzed. Based on the use of correlation analysis methods, the most influential factors are defined, which include the number of hospitals and clinics, the number of doctors of all specialties, the number of diseases, the diseases of the population associated with the mental health disorders, tumors. In order to increase the efficiency of modernization of the health care sphere in Ukraine, it is proposed to group the regions of the country according to the status of this sphere and adjust management decisions for each of the allocated groups according to its characteristics. The grouping of regions of Ukraine by the status of the health care sector was carried out using cluster analysis methods. An analysis of the features of differentiation of regions by the factors affecting the mortality of the Ukrainian population from the point of view of health care has been carried out. Using the singular spectral analysis methods, tendencies and seasonality are researched, a forecast of mortality of the population of Ukraine for 2020 is generated. Adequacy of the models, built on the base of calculations of error of the MAPE forecast, is proven. It is proposed to use the built models to scientifically substantiate the prospective rates of mortality of the population according to the allocated groups of Ukrainian regions; in planning for measures and strategies of development of the health care sphere at the local level, based on features of a region; in developing managerial decisions in the sphere of the country’s socio-demographic policy.

Article is written in Ukrainan


Shlykova V. O., Levanda O. M.
Development of Ukrainian Consumer Market in the Face of Macroeconomic Instability (p. 247 - 258)

The article is aimed at defining the current tendencies and features of the formation of demand and domestic supply in the consumer goods market of Ukraine in the face of macroeconomic instability. The research period covered 2010-2018, with a reduction of the time series in cases where it is not possible to ensure its homogeneity within the specified interval. Statistics were used to identify structural changes and explore the overall dynamics of consumer spendings of Ukrainian households, retail turnover, consumer prices, consumer products. It is determined that on the demand side the macroeconomic instability causes a reorientation of consumer spendings to meet basic needs for food, health and transport services. In turn, on the supply side there is a drop in production of both most food and consumer durable goods, especially advanced technology products. The identified negative tendencies of decline in the national production, growth of import dependence of the consumer market, presence of a significant gap between the rate of income growth and inflation, transformation of retail infrastructure confirm the need for further research to create the necessary prerequisites for the development of the consumer market in Ukraine.

Article is written in Ukrainan


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