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BUSINESS INFORM №6-2015

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10

Section: Economic and Mathematical Modeling
UDC 332.146:330.44
Guryanova L. S.
SAR-Models of Mechanism for Estimation, Analysis and Prognosis of Regions' Development (p. 60 - 66)

One of the main objectives of development of the national economy at the present stage is to analyze the structural imbalances of territorial development. Strengthening of such imbalances leads to escalation of strife, increase of the threat to preserving the integrity of economic space. Solutions as to the indicated task should focus at improving the model basis of a mechanism for identifying factors of formation of structural imbalances in the development of territories, aimed at developing a complex of strategic preventive measures directed to elimination of these imbalances. The proposed mechanism involves the following main modules: estimation of interregional social-economic differentiation; analysis of convergence of regional development; prognosis of dynamics of development of the territories; elaboration of inertial and alternative scenarios of socio-economic development of regions. To solve the tasks of each module, a set of models has been developed. One of the main constituents of the proposed complex are the SAR-models of analysis of interregional interaction. Implementation of the above models indicates the formation of the most important effects in the innovation activities of regions, the transfer of social impulses. The developed models can be considered as a tool for support of decision-making in the sphere of State regional policy, aimed at ensuring the balanced development of territories through the establishment of coherent and mutually agreed system of strategic priorities for regional development, improving the investment activities of regional systems.
Keywords: regions' development, mechanism, estimation, prognosis, model basis, effects of interregional interaction, SAR-models
Fig.: 1. Tabl.: 2. Formulae: 2. Bibl.: 19.

Guryanova Lidiya S. – Doctor of Sciences (Economics), Professor, Head of the Department, Department of Economic Cybernetics, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics (9a Nauky Ave., Kharkiv, 61166, Ukraine)
Email: [email protected]

Article is written in Russian
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Reference to this article:
Guryanova, Lidiya S. (2015) “SAR-Models of Mechanism for Estimation, Analysis and Prognosis of Regions' Development.” Business Inform 6:60–66.


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